- Monte Carlo fallacy
[Monte Carlo fallacy 词源字典]
- 1957, named for resort in Monaco famous for its gambling casinos. The fallacy of thinking that the probability of a particular outcome rises with the successive number of opposite outcomes. Contrary to the Monte Carlo fallacy, if the roulette wheel stops on black 99 times in a row, the chances that the 100th spin will be red are still just under 50-50.[Monte Carlo fallacy etymology, Monte Carlo fallacy origin, 英语词源]